EXPOSURE TO AI
44%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
14%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The boring parts are leaving. The judgment stays.
44% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write about and present research findings for a variety of specialized and general audiences
- Write grant proposals to obtain funding for research
- Collect information and make judgments through observation, interviews, and review of documents
- Research, survey, or assess sites of past societies and cultures in search of answers to specific research questions
- Assess archeological sites for resource management, development, or conservation purposes and recommend methods for site protection
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Collect artifacts made of stone, bone, metal, and other materials, placing them in bags and marking them to show where they were found
- Clean, restore, and preserve artifacts
- Develop intervention procedures, using techniques such as individual and focus group interviews, consultations, and participant observation of social interaction
- Lead field training sites and train field staff, students, and volunteers in excavation methods
- Conduct participatory action research in communities and organizations to assess how work is done and to design work systems, technologies, and environments
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 44% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16