OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
24%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Still standing — but the ground is warm.
50% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Heavily exposed. Most of the tasks are within reach of today’s AI.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases
- Organize or deliver public presentations about mediation to organizations, such as community agencies or schools
- Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests
- Conduct initial meetings with disputants to outline the arbitration process, settle procedural matters, such as fees, or determine details, such as witness numbers or time requirements
- Prepare settlement agreements for disputants to sign
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Issue subpoenas or administer oaths to prepare for formal hearings
- Participate in court proceedings
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 50% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16