EXPOSURE TO AI
45%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
8%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
45% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Share research findings by writing scientific articles or by making presentations at scientific conferences
- Write grant proposals to obtain funding for research
- Prepare reports or recommendations, based upon research outcomes
- Study physical principles of living cells or organisms and their electrical or mechanical energy, applying methods and knowledge of mathematics, physics, chemistry, or biology
- Determine the three-dimensional structure of biological macromolecules
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Design or perform experiments with equipment, such as lasers, accelerators, or mass spectrometers
- Design or build laboratory equipment needed for special research projects
- Isolate, analyze, or synthesize vitamins, hormones, allergens, minerals, or enzymes and determine their effects on body functions
- Research transformations of substances in cells, using atomic isotopes
- Prepare pharmaceutical compounds for commercial distribution
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 45% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16