EXPOSURE TO AI
47%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
2%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
47% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Determine method of shipment and prepare bills of lading, invoices, and other shipping documents
- Enter shipping information into a computer by hand or by a hand-held scanner that reads bar codes on goods
- Estimate freight or postal rates and record shipment costs and weights
- Prepare manifests showing numbers of airplane passengers and baggage, mail, and freight weights, transmitting data to destinations
- Check import or export documentation to determine cargo contents and use tariff coding system to classify goods according to fee or tariff group
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Install straps, braces, and padding to loads to prevent shifting or damage during shipment
- Coordinate and supervise activities of workers engaged in packing and shipping merchandise
- Route received goods to first available flight or to appropriate storage areas or departments, using forklifts, hand trucks, or other equipment
- Direct delivery trucks to shipping doors or designated marshaling areas and help load and unload goods safely
- Assemble containers and crates used to transport items, such as machines or vehicles
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 47% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16