EXPOSURE TO AI
46%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
3%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The boring parts are leaving. The judgment stays.
46% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Review reports submitted by staff members to recommend approval or to suggest changes
- Deliver speeches, write articles, or present information at meetings or conventions to promote services, exchange ideas, or accomplish objectives
- Nominate citizens to boards or commissions
- Analyze operations to evaluate performance of a company or its staff in meeting objectives or to determine areas of potential cost reduction, program improvement, or policy change
- Prepare budgets for approval, including those for funding or implementation of programs
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Appoint department heads or managers and assign or delegate responsibilities to them
- Confer with board members, organization officials, or staff members to discuss issues, coordinate activities, or resolve problems
- Preside over, or serve on, boards of directors, management committees, or other governing boards
- Attend and participate in meetings of municipal councils or council committees
- Represent organizations or promote their objectives at official functions, or delegate representatives to do so
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 46% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16