EXPOSURE TO AI
15%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
1%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The last desk the machine reaches. Breathe.
15% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Keep records on individual children, including daily observations and information about activities, meals served, and medications administered
- Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls
- Help children with homework and school work
- Create developmentally appropriate lesson plans
- Perform general personnel functions, such as supervision, training, and scheduling
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Maintain a safe play environment
- Observe and monitor children's play activities
- Support children's emotional and social development, encouraging understanding of others and positive self-concepts
- Care for children in institutional setting, such as group homes, nursery schools, private businesses, or schools for the handicapped
- Sanitize toys and play equipment
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 15% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16