EXPOSURE TO AI
43%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The boring parts are leaving. The judgment stays.
43% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Apply principles of specialized fields of science, such as agronomy, soil science, forestry, or agriculture, to achieve conservation objectives
- Plan soil management or conservation practices, such as crop rotation, reforestation, permanent vegetation, contour plowing, or terracing, to maintain soil or conserve water
- Advise land users, such as farmers or ranchers, on plans, problems, or alternative conservation solutions
- Compute design specifications for implementation of conservation practices, using survey or field information, technical guides or engineering manuals
- Gather information from geographic information systems (GIS) databases or applications to formulate land use recommendations
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Implement soil or water management techniques, such as nutrient management, erosion control, buffers, or filter strips, in accordance with conservation plans
- Develop or maintain working relationships with local government staff or board members
- Revisit land users to view implemented land use practices or plans
- Manage field offices or involve staff in cooperative ventures
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 43% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16