EXPOSURE TO AI
45%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
12%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
45% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Interpret and explain laws and regulations to travelers, prospective immigrants, shippers, and manufacturers
- Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions
- Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods
- Examine immigration applications, visas, and passports and interview persons to determine eligibility for admission, residence, and travel in the U.S
- Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Detain persons found to be in violation of customs or immigration laws and arrange for legal action, such as deportation
- Locate and seize contraband, undeclared merchandise, and vehicles, aircraft, or boats that contain such merchandise
- Testify regarding decisions at immigration appeals or in federal court
- Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 45% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16