OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
12%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The machines are eyeing your desk.
64% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Heavily exposed. Most of the tasks are within reach of today’s AI.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Prepare and process import and export documentation according to customs regulations, laws, or procedures
- Calculate duty and tariff payments owed on shipments
- Classify goods according to tariff coding system
- Quote duty and tax rates on goods to be imported, based on federal tariffs and excise taxes
- Prepare papers for shippers to appeal duty charges
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Almost nothing here is clearly out of reach. That’s the warning in this one.
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 64% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16