EXPOSURE TO AI
44%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
15%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
44% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Publicize programs through sources, such as newsletters, bulletins, or mailings
- Schedule special events, such as camps, conferences, meetings, seminars, or retreats
- Interpret religious education activities to the public through speaking, leading discussions, or writing articles for local or national publications
- Select appropriate curricula or class structures for educational programs
- Implement program plans by ordering needed materials, scheduling speakers, reserving space, or handling other administrative details
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Collaborate with other ministry members to establish goals and objectives for religious education programs or to develop ways to encourage program participation
- Confer with clergy members, congregational officials, or congregational organizations to encourage support of or participation in religious education activities
- Counsel individuals regarding interpersonal, health, financial, or religious problems
- Plan or conduct conferences dealing with the interpretation of religious ideas or convictions
- Visit congregational members' homes or arrange for pastoral visits to provide information or resources regarding religious education programs
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 44% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16