OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
18%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Lightly singed at worst. Carry on.
26% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Mostly safe. AI helps around the edges, but the job stays human.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write and record orders for merchandise or enter orders into computers
- Answer questions about product features and benefits
- Develop prospect lists
- Order or purchase supplies
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Deliver merchandise and collect payment
- Circulate among potential customers or travel by foot, truck, automobile, or bicycle to deliver or sell merchandise or services
- Persuade customers to purchase merchandise or services
- Set up and display sample merchandise at parties or stands
- Explain products or services and prices and demonstrate use of products
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 26% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16