EXPOSURE TO AI
43%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
36%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
43% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Integrate and develop visual elements, such as line, space, mass, color, and perspective, to produce desired effects, such as the illustration of ideas, emotions, or moods
- Confer with clients, editors, writers, art directors, and other interested parties regarding the nature and content of artwork to be produced
- Maintain portfolios of artistic work to demonstrate styles, interests, and abilities
- Study different techniques to learn how to apply them to artistic endeavors
- Monitor events, trends, and other circumstances, research specific subject areas, attend art exhibitions, and read art publications to develop ideas and keep current on art world activities
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Model substances such as clay or wax, using fingers and small hand tools to form objects
- Create sculptures, statues, and other three-dimensional artwork by using abrasives and tools to shape, carve, and fabricate materials such as clay, stone, wood, or metal
- Frame and mat artwork for display or sale
- Cut, bend, laminate, arrange, and fasten individual or mixed raw and manufactured materials and products to form works of art
- Apply solvents and cleaning agents to clean surfaces of paintings, and to remove accretions, discolorations, and deteriorated varnish
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 43% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16