EXPOSURE TO AI
40%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
3%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
40% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Record information, such as personnel, production, or operational data on specified forms or reports
- Coordinate work activities with other construction project activities
- Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs
- Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans
- Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Train workers in construction methods, operation of equipment, safety procedures, or company policies
- Provide assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities, using hand tools or other equipment
- Confer with managerial or technical personnel, other departments, or contractors to resolve problems or to coordinate activities
- Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 40% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16