EXPOSURE TO AI
47%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
3%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
47% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet
- Edit historical society publications
- Translate or request translation of reference materials
- Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials
- Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts
- Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies
- Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 47% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16