EXPOSURE TO AI
42%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
31%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Half in the fire, half out. Choose which half you become.
42% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write decisions on cases
- Read documents on pleadings and motions to ascertain facts and issues
- Preside over hearings and listen to allegations made by plaintiffs to determine whether the evidence supports the charges
- Award compensation for damages to litigants in civil cases in relation to findings by juries or by the court
- Research legal issues and write opinions on the issues
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Instruct juries on applicable laws, direct juries to deduce the facts from the evidence presented, and hear their verdicts
- Supervise other judges, court officers, and the court's administrative staff
- Participate in judicial tribunals to help resolve disputes
- Perform wedding ceremonies
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 42% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16