EXPOSURE TO AI
13%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Certified irreplaceable. For now, gloriously human.
13% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Plan locations and sequences of cutting, drilling, bending, rolling, punching, and welding operations, using compasses, protractors, dividers, and rules
- Plan and develop layouts from blueprints and templates, applying knowledge of trigonometry, design, effects of heat, and properties of metals
- Add dimensional details to blueprints or drawings made by other workers
- Inspect machined parts to verify conformance to specifications
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Mark curves, lines, holes, dimensions, and welding symbols onto workpieces, using scribes, soapstones, punches, and hand drills
- Fit and align fabricated parts to be welded or assembled
- Locate center lines and verify template positions, using measuring instruments such as gauge blocks, height gauges, and dial indicators
- Lay out and fabricate metal structural parts such as plates, bulkheads, and frames
- Compute layout dimensions, and determine and mark reference points on metal stock or workpieces for further processing, such as welding and assembly
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 13% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16