EXPOSURE TO AI
48%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
7%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
48% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Record test procedures and results, numerical and graphical data, and recommendations for changes in product or test methods
- Prepare equipment inspection schedules, reliability schedules, work plans, or other records
- Calculate required capacities for equipment of proposed system to obtain specified performance and submit data to engineering personnel for approval
- Prepare parts sketches and write work orders and purchase requests to be furnished by outside contractors
- Discuss changes in design, method of manufacture and assembly, or drafting techniques and procedures with staff and coordinate corrections
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Assemble or disassemble complex mechanical systems
- Test machines, components, materials, or products to determine characteristics such as performance, strength, or response to stress
- Set up and conduct tests of complete units and components under operational conditions to investigate proposals for improving equipment performance
- Set up prototype and test apparatus and operate test controlling equipment to observe and record prototype test results
- Assist mechanical engineers in product testing through activities such as setting up instrumentation for automobile crash tests
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 48% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16