EXPOSURE TO AI
45%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
8%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The boring parts are leaving. The judgment stays.
45% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write performance requirements for product development or engineering projects
- Read and interpret blueprints, technical drawings, schematics, or computer-generated reports
- Specify system components or direct modification of products to ensure conformance with engineering design, performance specifications, or environmental regulations
- Recommend design modifications to eliminate machine or system malfunctions
- Assist drafters in developing the structural design of products, using drafting tools or computer-assisted drafting equipment or software
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Oversee installation, operation, maintenance, or repair to ensure that machines or equipment are installed and functioning according to specifications
- Direct the installation, operation, maintenance, or repair of renewable energy equipment, such as heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) or water systems
- Perform personnel functions, such as supervision of production workers, technicians, technologists, or other engineers
- Select or install combined heat units, power units, cogeneration equipment, or trigeneration equipment that reduces energy use or pollution
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 45% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16