EXPOSURE TO AI
40%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
10%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
40% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Prepare technical reports and recommendations, based upon research outcomes
- Study growth, structure, development, and general characteristics of bacteria and other microorganisms to understand their relationship to human, plant, and animal health
- Provide laboratory services for health departments, community environmental health programs, and physicians needing information for diagnosis and treatment
- Investigate the relationship between organisms and disease, including the control of epidemics and the effects of antibiotics on microorganisms
- Monitor and perform tests on water, food, and the environment to detect harmful microorganisms or to obtain information about sources of pollution, contamination, or infection
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Isolate and maintain cultures of bacteria or other microorganisms in prescribed or developed media, controlling moisture, aeration, temperature, and nutrition
- Use a variety of specialized equipment, such as electron microscopes, gas and high-pressure liquid chromatographs, electrophoresis units, thermocyclers, fluorescence-activated cell sorters, and phosphorimagers
- Observe action of microorganisms upon living tissues of plants, higher animals, and other microorganisms, and on dead organic matter
- Conduct chemical analyses of substances such as acids, alcohols, and enzymes
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 40% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16