EXPOSURE TO AI
3%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The last desk the machine reaches. Breathe.
3% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Measure surfaces or review work orders to estimate the quantities of materials needed
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Smooth strips or sections of paper with brushes or rollers to remove wrinkles and bubbles and to smooth joints
- Trim rough edges from strips, using straightedges and trimming knives
- Trim excess material at ceilings or baseboards, using knives
- Check finished wallcoverings for proper alignment, pattern matching, and neatness of seams
- Mark vertical guidelines on walls to align strips, using plumb bobs and chalk lines
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 3% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16