OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
5%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The model already does most of this before its first coffee.
84% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Deeply cooked. Almost the entire task list is something a model can already attempt.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Compute wages and deductions, and enter data into computers
- Process paperwork for new employees and enter employee information into the payroll system
- Record employee information, such as exemptions, transfers, and resignations, to maintain and update payroll records
- Issue and record adjustments to pay related to previous errors or retroactive increases
- Keep track of leave time, such as vacation, personal, and sick leave, for employees
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Almost nothing here is clearly out of reach. That’s the warning in this one.
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 84% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16