OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
4%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The robots can help. They can’t replace the room you read.
20% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Mostly safe. AI helps around the edges, but the job stays human.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Prepare calculations for receipts and deliveries of oil and oil products
- Calculate test result values, using standard formulas
- Plan movement of products through lines to processing, storage, and shipping units, using knowledge of system interconnections and capacities
- Read and analyze specifications, schedules, logs, test results, and laboratory recommendations to determine how to set equipment controls to produce the required qualities and quantities of products
- Record and compile operating data, instrument readings, documentation, and results of laboratory analyses
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Start pumps and open valves or use automated equipment to regulate the flow of oil in pipelines and into and out of tanks
- Control or operate manifold and pumping systems to circulate liquids through a petroleum refinery
- Operate control panels to coordinate and regulate process variables such as temperature and pressure, and to direct product flow rate, according to process schedules
- Verify that incoming and outgoing products are moving through the correct meters, and that meters are working properly
- Operate auxiliary equipment and control multiple processing units during distilling or treating operations, moving controls that regulate valves, pumps, compressors, and auxiliary equipment
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 20% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16