EXPOSURE TO AI
10%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
1%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The last desk the machine reaches. Breathe.
10% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Keep records of work assignments
- Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints
- Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans
- Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures
- Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or wrenches
- Install underground storm, sanitary, or water piping systems, extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing
- Assemble pipe sections, tubing, or fittings, using couplings, clamps, screws, bolts, cement, plastic solvent, caulking, or soldering, brazing, or welding equipment
- Locate and mark the position of pipe installations, connections, passage holes, or fixtures in structures, using measuring instruments such as rulers or levels
- Cut, thread, or hammer pipes to specifications, using tools such as saws, cutting torches, pipe threaders, or pipe benders
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 10% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16