EXPOSURE TO AI
48%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
45%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
48% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write drafts of legislative proposals, and prepare speeches, correspondence, and policy papers for governmental use
- Maintain current knowledge of government policy decisions
- Develop and test theories, using information from interviews, newspapers, periodicals, case law, historical papers, polls, or statistical sources
- Disseminate research results through academic publications, written reports, or public presentations
- Advise political science students
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 48% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16