EXPOSURE TO AI
39%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
39% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Write reports or case summaries to document investigations
- Search computer databases, credit reports, public records, tax or legal filings, or other resources to locate persons or to compile information for investigations
- Expose fraudulent insurance claims or stolen funds
- Obtain and analyze information on suspects, crimes, or disturbances to solve cases, to identify criminal activity, or to gather information for court cases
- Question persons to obtain evidence for cases of divorce, child custody, or missing persons or information about individuals' character or financial status
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Testify at hearings or court trials to present evidence
- Confer with establishment officials, security departments, police, or postal officials to identify problems, provide information, or receive instructions
- Perform undercover operations, such as evaluating the performance or honesty of employees by posing as customers or employees
- Monitor industrial or commercial properties to enforce conformance to establishment rules and to protect people or property
- Apprehend suspects and release them to law enforcement authorities or security personnel
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 39% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16