OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Mostly fireproof. AI hands you the paperwork and steps back.
20% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Mostly safe. AI helps around the edges, but the job stays human.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Fill out defective equipment reports
- Communicate with dispatchers concerning delays, unsafe sites, accidents, equipment breakdowns, or other maintenance problems
- Provide quotes for refuse collection contracts
- Organize schedules for refuse collection
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies
- Inspect trucks prior to beginning routes to ensure safe operating condition
- Drive trucks, following established routes, through residential streets or alleys or through business or industrial areas
- Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse
- Dump refuse or recyclable materials at disposal sites
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 20% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16