EXPOSURE TO AI
4%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
The last desk the machine reaches. Breathe.
4% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled
- Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached
- Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks
- Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines
- Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses
- Maintain government-issued certifications, as required
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 4% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16