EXPOSURE TO AI
39%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
A co-pilot is coming for the busywork, not the wheel.
39% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Develop set designs, based on evaluation of scripts, budgets, research information, and available locations
- Prepare rough drafts and scale working drawings of sets, including floor plans, scenery, and properties to be constructed
- Prepare preliminary renderings of proposed exhibits, including detailed construction, layout, and material specifications, and diagrams relating to aspects such as special effects or lighting
- Read scripts to determine location, set, and design requirements
- Submit plans for approval, and adapt plans to serve intended purposes, or to conform to budget or fabrication restrictions
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Attend rehearsals and production meetings to obtain and share information related to sets
- Inspect installed exhibits for conformance to specifications and satisfactory operation of special-effects components
- Confer with clients and staff to gather information about exhibit space, proposed themes and content, timelines, budgets, materials, or promotion requirements
- Coordinate the transportation of sets that are built off-site, and coordinate their setup at the site of use
- Select and purchase lumber and hardware necessary for set construction
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 39% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16