EXPOSURE TO AI
19%
RESILIENT
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
0%
of this role’s work is already showing up in real Claude usage (Anthropic Economic Index).
Robots can’t hold a hand, a scalpel, or your nerve.
19% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. Certified hard to automate. Today’s AI barely touches the core of this one.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Set up and operate conventional or computer numerically controlled machine tools such as lathes, milling machines, or grinders to cut, bore, grind, or otherwise shape parts to prescribed dimensions and finishes
- Develop and design new tools and dies, using computer-aided design software
- Visualize and compute dimensions, sizes, shapes, and tolerances of assemblies, based on specifications
- Study blueprints, sketches, models, or specifications to plan sequences of operations for fabricating tools, dies, or assemblies
- Inspect finished dies for smoothness, contour conformity, and defects
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Verify dimensions, alignments, and clearances of finished parts for conformance to specifications, using measuring instruments such as calipers, gauge blocks, micrometers, or dial indicators
- Fit and assemble parts to make, repair, or modify dies, jigs, gauges, and tools, using machine tools, hand tools, or welders
- Lift, position, and secure machined parts on surface plates or worktables, using hoists, vises, v-blocks, or angle plates
- File, grind, shim, and adjust different parts to properly fit them together
- Smooth and polish flat and contoured surfaces of parts or tools, using scrapers, abrasive stones, files, emery cloths, or power grinders
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 19% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16