EXPOSURE TO AI
38%
MODERATE
OBSERVED IN REAL USE · Anthropic 2026
n/a
Not yet measured in the Anthropic Economic Index. The exposure figure is a capability estimate only.
The boring parts are leaving. The judgment stays.
38% of this role’s O*NET tasks are within reach of today’s AI. That is the core-weighted exposure score from Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”). It measures a capability ceiling, not a headcount forecast. In the blast radius. A real slice of the work is already automatable. The rest isn’t.
WHAT AI CAN ALREADY DO
- Evaluate services received on the tour, and report findings to tour organizers
- Explain hunting and fishing laws to groups to ensure compliance
- Pay bills and record checks issued
- Arrange for tour or expedition details such as accommodations, transportation, equipment, and the availability of medical personnel
- Resolve any problems with itineraries, service, or accommodations
WHAT IT STILL CAN’T
- Attend to special needs of tour participants
- Administer first aid to injured group participants
- Pilot airplanes or drive land and water vehicles to transport tourists to activity or tour sites
- Sell or rent equipment, clothing, and supplies related to expeditions
- Verify amounts and quality of equipment prior to expeditions or tours
THE HONEST PART. A percentage is not a pink slip. High exposure usually means a role shrinks and shifts toward judgment, direction and responsibility: the parts a model can’t sign its name to. Exposure ≠ displacement. Breathe.
"My job is 38% cooked. What’s yours?"
SOURCES: O*NET 30.3 occupational tasks · Eloundou et al. 2023 (“GPTs are GPTs”,
arXiv:2303.10130) · Anthropic Economic Index 2026 (CC-BY) |
how this is calculated |
last updated 2026-07-16